Greysteel Capital Markets Update | June 2019
As trade war fears rose and economic data disappointed, Treasury yields declined in May. The 10-year Treasury rate decreased to 2.14% at the end of May, down 37 basis points from the previous month. The stock market fared no better, either, as the S&P 500 lost 6.6% in May. These decreases, paired with the Trump administration’s recent move to impose punitive tariffs on Mexico, have investors anticipating a potential near-term economic downturn with a second front in the global trade fight. However, in early June, Fed Chairman Powell suggested trade tensions could lead the central bank to cut interest rates in order to lengthen the U.S.’s economic expansion.